Analysis

Which Instagram metric most reliably predicts a post will go viral within 24 hours

Jan 07, 2026 • by Camille Dubois
Which Instagram metric most reliably predicts a post will go viral within 24 hours

I run daily scans of platform behavior, creator reports and campaign dashboards, so I see the same pattern over and over: some posts take off almost immediately, others trickle along or die quietly. If you’re asking which single Instagram metric most reliably predicts a post will go viral within 24 hours, the short answer I give in my briefs is early engagement velocity — specifically the...

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